One and Done Selection For the Memorial Tournament

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2018 Memorial Tournament

Muirfield Village Golf Club – 7,392 Yards – Par 72
Greens: Bentgrass

The Memorial Tournament once again did not disappoint in its strength of the field. Always boasting one of the best compilation of players, Muirfield Village is a perfect setup course for those trying to get prepared for the U.S. Open. It measures just under 7,400 yards and is a relatively long course with THICK rough. Wayward drives are a recipe for disaster at this venue, although the relatively wide fairways make driving accuracy less of a relevant stat. Players will need good sand games to cope for the greenside bunkers all throughout Muirfield Village.

Key Stats:

Strokes Gained Approach – 25%
Par 4 450-500 Yards – 20%
Par 3 175-200 Yards – 15%
Proximity 175-200 Yards – 15%
Sand Saves – 15%
Greens In Regulation Gained – 10%

My OAD Selections for the season so far:

Sony Open
Gary Woodland T7- $193,233

Career Builder Challenge
Chesson Hadley T42- $18,983

Farmers Insurance Open
Tony Finau T6- $239,775

Waste Management Phoenix Open
Webb Simpson MC- $0

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Brandt Snedeker T20- $80,167

Genesis Open
Paul Casey T49- $17,964

The Honda Classic
Alex Noren T3- $448,800

Phil Mickelson 1st- $1,700,000

Valspar Championship
Sergio Garcia 4th- $312,000

Arnold Palmer Invitational
Rickie Fowler T14- $137,950

Corales Puntacana Championship
Emiliano Grillo T50- $7,305

WGC Dell Technologies Match Play
Bubba Watson 1st- $1,700,00

Houston Open
Luke List T24- $54,163

Jordan Spieth 3rd- $748,000

RBC Heritage
Matt Kuchar T23- $53,823

Valero Texas Open
Adam Scott MC- $0

Wells Fargo Championship
Bryson Dechambeau 4th- $369,600

The Players Championship
Justin Thomas T11- $225,500

AT&T Byron Nelson
Hideki Matsuyama T16- $115,500

Fort Worth Invitational
Adam Hadwin T52- $16,472

Total $- $6,439,235

Screen Shot 2018-05-29 at 4.10.26 PM

Last week was a disaster One and Done selection week for us. Our eventual pick, Adam Hadwin, managed to scrape out a meager T52 showing, giving us a payday of $16,472, but our whole top-five recommendation list was very subpar. We will look for a significant bounce-back effort this week at the Memorial Tournament.

Golfers in the field I have already used: Woodland, Hadley, Finau, Mickelson, Fowler, Grillo, Watson, List, Spieth, Kuchar, Scott, DeChambeau, Thomas, Matsuyama, and Hadwin.

My top-five OAD picks for the Memorial Tournament-
(Any golfer I have used will be eliminated from consideration.)

#5 Jason Dufner

Our defending champion at the Memorial Tournament will start off our top-five list. Jason Dufner put on a ball-striking exhibition last year during his victory at the Memorial Tournament. Dufner opened Thursday and Friday with consecutive seven-under 65 rounds. Going into the weekend, it appeared as if the tournament was all but over, but that is when things got interesting. Dufner shot a five-over 77 on Saturday, letting back in a whole brigade of players, which included Justin Thomas and Rickie Fowler, to name a few. Luckily for Dufner, he found a way to bounce back on Sunday and seal the title. Dufner shot a four-under 68 during his final round, winning by three strokes over Fowler and Anirban Lahiri. Dufner has struggled to find success since his victory last season at Muirfield Village but may be peaking again at the right time. Dufner has produced two top-five finishes in his last four tournaments, which just so happen to be his only top-10 results since his title here last year. In his last 24 rounds compared to the field on Jack Nicklaus-designed courses, Dufner ranks first in greens in regulation and second in strokes gained approach.

#4 Henrik Stenson

Week in and week out, Henrik Stenson has continued to put on a ball-striking demonstration that very few can even come close to matching. After a string of three top-six finishes, the 42-year-old Sweedish golfer relatively disappointed his backers at The Players Championship by providing just a T23 showing. While a share of 23rd-place is nothing to sneeze at, it still was a bit lackluster for the over 40 percent of DraftKings players who played him in GPPs. Stenson should provide a nice rebound for those who are willing to go back to the well, and honestly, I don’t see a reason why he shouldn’t be considered.

#3 Tiger Woods

The five-time champion at the Memorial Tournament will come in at No. 3 this week for me. Woods has had a spectacular return to professional golf. Having made eight of nine cuts, with five top-15 finishes, Woods looks like he is starting to get very close to capturing a title again soon on Tour. The question becomes, “Just how close are we?” I think we are reaching the territory that it very well could happen any week. I refuse to write Woods off at a tournament he has won five times, but I do think his erratic driver and suspect sand game will prevent him from capturing the title this weekend. Still, I expect Woods to produce a top-20 finish here, getting him one step closer to his first title of the season.

#2. Dustin Johnson

Full disclosure on this pick, I will not be using him, but I do think this makes for a unique spot to use Johnson if you are trying to chase down the leaders of your pool. Most people who haven’t used Johnson yet will be waiting to use him at the U.S. Open. I fall right into that same category, but instead of trying to copy the mold and therefore remaining stagnant regardless of how Johnson does, why not set yourself apart and use him a week or two early? The big-hitting American struggled mightily last year at the Memorial Tournament and missed the cut, but in his two prior years, he had a solo third-place finish in 2016 and T13 in 2015. He comes into the week appearing like he is still trying to find his game, but most people fail to realize Johnson has produced 10 straight top-17 finishes.

#1 Justin Rose

I am never a big fan of jumping on a player the week after he has won a tournament. Most of the time you have already missed the boat on his success and are setting yourself up for disappointment. However, I don’t believe this to be the case with Justin Rose. Rose has made eight of 11 career cuts at Muirfield Village, and while a 72 percent cut rate is not overly promising, he also has six top-10 finishes and one victory here. Rose is the kind of player that when he is on, he is almost unbeatable. His current form is spectacular, his course history is as good as anyone’s, and statistically, he grades out in the top-five of my spreadsheet. For all those reasons, I will be using Justin Rose as my OAD pick for the week.

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